Analysis: Global — 15 October 2026 Iran mine sinks containership in Strait of Hormuz as oil flows collapse Iran and Ansar Allah intensified attacks on 14–15 October. The AD Ports-operated containership GFS Pride sank after a strike and fire on a Hormuz transit; Iranian accounts said a UAE-owned ship with more than 2,500 containers hit … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 15 October 2026 UK Chancellor Healey rejects CGT equalisation and mansion-tax widening ahead of Budget UK Chancellor John Healey has, in successive decisions this week, rejected equalising capital gains tax with income tax, refused to lower a planned mansion-tax threshold from £2 million to £1.5 million, and ruled out extra business rates … Read more
Analysis: Global — 14 October 2026 Hormuz oil transits recover as Iran still hits tankers Reports that more oil is moving through the Strait of Hormuz have been treated as a political win for the Trump administration. Industry trackers last week recorded transits of 13–17 million barrels per day, against a pre-war average of about … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 14 October 2026 Lagarde says French debt must be fixed by Paris, not the ECB European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on 14 October that the “primary and first solution” to France’s debt lies in French fiscal policy. She spoke as euro-area inflation is rising “predominantly, but not exclusively” because of … Read more
Analysis: Global — 13 October 2026 Iran war puts Republicans at risk of 2006-style midterm wipeout Republicans could face a midterm loss on the scale of 2006, with Democrats leading nearly all Senate toss-up races on a map that should have favored the GOP. Responsible Statecraft reports the Iran war as a main driver: it … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 13 October 2026 France’s public debt hits 119% of GDP as default talk enters the presidential race Wolfgang Münchau wrote in UnHerd that France may at some point stop servicing its debts. Public debt is €3.6 trillion, or 119% of GDP. On 12 October, EUR/USD traded to a 2026 low near 1.1155 … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 12 October 2026 France’s public debt hits €3.6 trillion as default talk enters 2027 race Wolfgang Münchau argues in UnHerd that France may at some point stop servicing its debts. The facts are concrete: public debt is €3.6 trillion, or 119% of GDP. Polls now put Marine Le Pen of National Rally … Read more
Analysis: Global — 10 October 2026 Trump says U.S. will not attack Iran before November 3 midterms President Donald Trump stated that the United States will not attack Iran before the November 3 midterm elections, while also claiming “productive discussions” with Tehran and asserting that 22 million barrels of oil moved in a single night … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 10 October 2026 Labour retains Starmer’s old seat as Zack Polanski loses Holborn by-election Labour’s Sagal Abdi-Wali won the Holborn and St Pancras by-election with 12,292 votes to Green leader Zack Polanski’s 8,928, taking 45% against 33% and holding Keir Starmer’s former seat after his resignation as an MP. Turnout fell 15.4 … Read more
Analysis: Global — 09 October 2026 Trump delays Iran strikes until after US midterms as Hormuz tankers and Riyadh airport are hit President Donald Trump said the United States will not attack Iran before the November 3 midterm elections, while claiming “productive discussions” with Tehran and citing 22 million barrels of oil moved overnight with … Read more