Analysis: Global — 03 November 2026 US midterms test Trump as Iran war and prices squeeze GOP seats Americans vote Tuesday in midterm elections that have become a test of President Donald Trump’s Iran war and the energy and food-price shock that followed it. Responsible Statecraft reports that South Carolina’s Senate race, long treated as … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 03 November 2026 Tusk-aligned judges suspend Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal president as Nawrocki forces entry On the evening of 30 October, a judge close to Donald Tusk’s government, acting on instructions from Justice Minister Waldemar Żurek, suspended Constitutional Tribunal president Bogdan Święczkowski and vice-president Bartłomiej Sochański and claimed control of the court. Riot … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 02 November 2026 Spain’s Sánchez calls 29 November snap election after Toledo train crash Spain’s Socialist prime minister Pedro Sánchez has called a snap general election for 29 November, nine months early. The campaign was first built around a housing-affordability crisis, including the televised eviction of 87-year-old Maricarmen Abascal from her Madrid … Read more
Analysis: Global — 31 October 2026 Senator Murphy calls US Iran war plan insane as Hormuz shuttle strains Senator Chris Murphy said on 29 October that he had been briefed on a U.S. war plan against Iran and that, without disclosing classified details, “the plan is insane.” Vice President JD Vance sent a letter to … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 31 October 2026 Youth protests spread across Europe after French school riots All over Europe, young people have taken to the streets. France’s student protests drew the most attention after they descended into rioting, looting and the torching of public buildings. In recent weeks there have also been demonstrations, some violent, in … Read more
Analysis: Global — 30 October 2026 Senator Murphy calls US Iran war plan insane as Vance outreach stalls On 29–30 October, Senator Chris Murphy said he had been briefed on a U.S. war plan against Iran and called it “insane,” without releasing details. Vice President JD Vance sent a letter to Tehran seeking a framework … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 30 October 2026 Healey’s first Budget soothes gilt markets as Burnham defers fiscal rupture Chancellor John Healey’s first Budget was a holding operation, not the “circuit breaker” Prime Minister Andy Burnham had advertised. The largest household item is another energy-bill subsidy, assessed by council-tax band, plus about £100 for some 20 million … Read more
Analysis: Global — 29 October 2026 Americans take $160 billion of Hormuz oil shock as WTI holds above $100 WTI crude settled at $102.78 a barrel on 28 October after a $2.88 rebound, as traders priced in a possible U.S. strike on Iran after the 3 November midterms and a Houthi attack on Saudi Arabia’s … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 29 October 2026 Healey delivers first UK Budget with £15bn headroom as OBR cuts 2027 growth to 1% UK Chancellor John Healey delivered his first Budget on 28 October, the first of Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s government. The Office for Budget Responsibility cut its 2027 GDP forecast to 1.0 percent from 1.6 … Read more
Analysis: Global — 28 October 2026 US households take $160 billion of Iran-war fuel shock, CREA says Americans account for $160 billion of an estimated $468 billion in global fuel-price inflation from the Middle East war, according to Finland’s Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, as reported on 28 October. CREA put the … Read more