Analysis: Europe — 09 October 2026 France debt-to-GDP hits 120% as euro bond spreads widen On 8 October, UnHerd published Jagjit Chadha’s account of France’s fiscal position: public debt has doubled since 2008 to about 120% of GDP, or €3.5 trillion. The spread of French 10-year bonds over German bunds has widened to 1.4% — … Read more
Analysis: Global — 08 October 2026 Iran strikes a tanker west of Hormuz as the Pentagon readies possible new strikes Iran struck a tanker far west of Hormuz on October 7, with casualties reported, after at least 12 attacks on oil and gas tankers in the week ending October 5. An IRGC adviser said the … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 08 October 2026 I need fresher pages from the listed outlets before selecting topics.Title: French-German yield spread climbs back to 143 basis points as European stocks fall French-German yield spread climbs back to 143 basis points as European stocks fall European equities opened lower on 8 October as borrowing costs rose again. … Read more
Analysis: Global — 07 October 2026 Gulf oil exports rebound toward pre-war levels as Brent stays above $100 Gulf oil and product flows, excluding Iran, recovered in September to roughly 80 percent of pre-war levels, according to Reuters and Standard Chartered assessments reported on October 6. Standard Chartered put crude and condensate exports, including bypass … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 07 October 2026 Sánchez calls a snap Spanish election for 29 November Pedro Sánchez called a snap general election for 29 November after weeks of pressure on his minority government. The immediate cause was a housing revolt: nationwide protests followed the eviction of an 87-year-old woman from a Madrid flat, and the … Read more
Analysis: Global — 06 October 2026 US completes Iraq withdrawal while the Iran war continues On September 30 the United States completed its troop withdrawal from Iraq, and Baghdad marked the date as Sovereignty Day. The force that left was the remnant of the 2014 return against ISIS, not an occupation army. Responsible Statecraft argues … Read more
Analysis: Europe — 06 October 2026 Sánchez calls a 29 November snap election after his minority government fails Pedro Sánchez has called a general election for 29 November after weeks of pressure, with housing protests the immediate trigger. He asked supporters to mobilise for a broader progressive majority. The call stands out because the government … Read more
UK Greens Declare Zionism Racism The Green Party of England and Wales voted at its Brighton conference to adopt a motion defining itself as an “anti-Zionist party,” equating Zionism with racism and committing to a single Palestinian state across all of historic Palestine. An amendment to protect Jewish members attending Zionist-aligned synagogues or community centres … Read more
Iran War Fuels Oil Shock and Recession Risks JP Morgan’s commodities team has admitted it lacks a baseline forecast for oil prices amid the seven-month US-Iran conflict, citing demand destruction that has kept Brent around $94 rather than the projected $130. Global inventories have drawn down far less than expected while demand runs 4.4 million … Read more
G7 Diesel Release Under US Pressure G7 leaders agreed on 2 October to release 100 million barrels of oil over four months, starting with diesel stocks, after intense pressure from the Trump administration. Trump announced that Europe would release a “massive amount” of its diesel reserves immediately. The alternative threatened was a US ban on … Read more